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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | A PRACTITIONER S GUIDE TO STATE AND LOCAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS
/ SMITH, STANLEY K.
: 2013
TABLE OF CONTENTS / INHALTSVERZEICHNIS
CHAPTER 1: RATIONALE, TERMINOLOGY, SCOPE
CHAPTER 2: FUNDAMENTAL OF POPULATION ANALYSIS
CHAPTER 3: OVERVIEW OF THE COHORT-COMPONENT METHOD
CHAPTER 4: MORTALITY
CHAPTER 5: FERTILITY
CHAPTER 6: MIGRATION
CHAPTER 7: IMPLEMENTING THE COHORT-COMPONENT METHOD
CHAPTER 8: EXTRAPOLATION METHODS
CHAPTER 9: STRUCTURAL AND MICROSIMULATION MODELS
CHAPTER 10: SPECIAL ADJUSTMENTS
CHAPTER 11: RELATED PROJECTIONS
CHAPTER 12: EVALUATING PROJECTIONS
CHAPTER 13 FORECAST ACCURACY AND BIAS
CHAPTER 14: A PRACTICAL GUIDE TO SMALL-AREA PROJECTIONS
EPILOGUES: SOME FINAL THOUGHTS
GLOSSARY
INDEX
DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
A PRACTITIONER S GUIDE TO STATE AND LOCAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS
/ SMITH, STANLEY K.
: 2013
ABSTRACT / INHALTSTEXT
THIS BOOK FOCUSES ON THE METHODOLOGY AND ANALYSIS OF STATE AND LOCAL
POPULATION PROJECTIONS. IT DESCRIBES THE MOST COMMONLY USED DATA SOURCES
AND APPLICATION TECHNIQUES FOR FOUR TYPES OF PROJECTION METHODS:
COHORT-COMPONENT, TREND EXTRAPOLATION, STRUCTURAL MODELS, AND
MICROSIMULATION. IT COVERS THE COMPONENTS OF POPULATION GROWTH, SOURCES
OF DATA, THE FORMATION OF ASSUMPTIONS, THE DEVELOPMENT OF EVALUATION
CRITERIA, AND THE DETERMINANTS OF FORECAST ACCURACY. IT CONSIDERS THE
STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF VARIOUS PROJECTION METHODS AND PAYS SPECIAL
ATTENTION TO THE UNIQUE PROBLEMS THAT CHARACTERIZE SMALL-AREA
PROJECTIONS. THE AUTHORS PROVIDE PRACTICAL GUIDANCE TO
DEMOGRAPHERS, PLANNERS, MARKET ANALYSTS, AND OTHERS CALLED ON TO
CONSTRUCT STATE AND LOCAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS. THEY USE MANY EXAMPLES
AND ILLUSTRATIONS AND PRESENT SUGGESTIONS FOR DEALING WITH SPECIAL
POPULATIONS, UNIQUE CIRCUMSTANCES, AND INADEQUATE OR UNRELIABLE DATA.
THEY DESCRIBE TECHNIQUES FOR CONTROLLING ONE SET OF PROJECTIONS TO
ANOTHER, FOR INTERPOLATING BETWEEN TIME POINTS, FOR SUB-DIVIDING AGE
GROUPS, AND FOR CONSTRUCTING PROJECTIONS OF POPULATION-RELATED VARIABLES
(E.G., SCHOOL ENROLLMENT, HOUSEHOLDS). THEY DISCUSS THE ROLE OF JUDGMENT
AND THE IMPORTANCE OF THE POLITICAL CONTEXT IN WHICH PROJECTIONS ARE
MADE. THEY EMPHASIZE THE “UTILITY” OF PROJECTIONS, OR THEIR
USEFULNESS FOR DECISION MAKING IN A WORLD OF COMPETING DEMANDS AND
LIMITED RESOURCES. THIS COMPREHENSIVE BOOK WILL PROVIDE READERS WITH
AN UNDERSTANDING NOT ONLY OF THE MECHANICS OF THE MOST COMMONLY USED
POPULATION PROJECTION METHODS, BUT ALSO OF THE MANY COMPLEX ISSUES
AFFECTING THEIR CONSTRUCTION, INTERPRETATION, EVALUATION, AND USE
DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
|
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| indexdate | 2024-12-20T16:50:03Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9789400775510 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027037964 |
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| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (XV, 411 S.) Ill., graph. Darst. |
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| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
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| publisher | Springer Netherlands |
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| series | The Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis |
| series2 | The Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis |
| spellingShingle | Smith, Stanley K. Tayman, Jeff 1951- Swanson, David A. 1946- A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections The Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4358095-6 |
| title | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections |
| title_auth | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections |
| title_exact_search | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections |
| title_full | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections Stanley K. Smith ; Jeff Tayman ; David A. Swanson |
| title_fullStr | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections Stanley K. Smith ; Jeff Tayman ; David A. Swanson |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections Stanley K. Smith ; Jeff Tayman ; David A. Swanson |
| title_short | A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections |
| title_sort | a practitioner s guide to state and local population projections |
| topic | Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Prognoseverfahren (DE-588)4358095-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Bevölkerungsentwicklung Prognoseverfahren |
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