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Titel:Exchange rate dynamics in a target zone - a heterogeneous expectations approach
Von: Christian Bauer ; Paul de Grauwe ; Stefan Reitz
Person: Bauer, Christian
1973-
Verfasser
aut
De Grauwe, Paul
Reitz, Stefan
1946-
1964-
Sonstige
Hauptverfasser: Bauer, Christian 1973- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Frankfurt am Main Dt. Bundesbank 2007
Schriftenreihe:Discussion paper Series 1, Economic studies ; 2007,11
Zusammenfassung:We present a simple behavioral model with chartists and fundamentalists and analyze their trading behavior in a floating regime and in a target zone regime. Regarding the floating regime the model replicates the well-known stylized facts like excessive volatility, fat tails,volatility clustering and the exchange rate disconnect. When introducing a credible target zone the exchange rate remains for a considerably long period in the center of the bandalbeit the fundamental exchange rate does not exhibit mean reversion tendencies. The resulting hump-shaped distribution of the exchange rate greatly reduces the frequency of central bank intervention. The introduction of a target zone regime significantly reduces exchange rate volatility by decreasing speculative activity in the FX market.
Umfang:41 S. graph. Darst.
ISBN:9783865582980

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